Amid chants of four more years, President Trump released a roundtable of recognized and notable black Americans who finds his administration as an asset to their community. As the nation closes out Black History month 2020, members of this vast and at times raucous group were obvious relating to their assistance for the president. Critics might counter this event was just a photo op and holds little interpretation for Election 2020. But imagine if that is not real? What happens if a growing measure of the black population detects a warm, comfortable home in the Trump camp? Moreover, what can the Democrats do to thwart a potential black defection to the GOP?
What They Can’t Do
The left has taken to supplying conservative blacks an oral lashing at each turn. After having a declaration at the presidential roundtable by previous NFL safety Jack Brewer that Mr. Trump will be the first black president, a CNN analyst melted down into a tirade. On the Don Lemon show, Keith Boynton let it rip:
“The idea that anybody would sit in a room with Donald Trump and call him the first black president after we had Barack Obama as the president of the United States. It shows just what kind of Uncle Toms were sitting in that room in the first place. That’s ridiculous. That’s an outrage that anybody would sit in that room and say something like that. That’s a shocking, appalling, disgusting thing to say.”
This type of Democratic insult to members of the black conservative community is not innovative. However, it is something they can’t anticipate to keep on working for them. As Dan Henninger of the Wall Street Journal points out, “An enduring condescension of our politics is that the voting preferences of minorities, especially black Americans, are monolithic and unchanging.”
Henninger notes the migration of blacks out of typical urban areas and toward areas of “greater economic opportunity” – particularly in the south – is a problem for Democrats. So are Opportunity Zones, reminiscent of Jack Kemp’s Enterprise Zones, and a staggeringly low unemployment rate among blacks. As well the president’s criminal justice reform, which includes releasing blacks who have been incarcerated for a ridiculously long time, adds gas to the fire stoked by the Trump administration that may have blacks thinking more deeply about whom to vote for at the polls this November.
A flurry of polls just a few months ago charted a possible changing attitude among blacks about Trump, but the numbers don’t speak as loudly as Republicans may wish. The Washington Post accurately pointed out that reports of Trump’s ranking in the 30s among blacks is soft.
“A poll’s margin of error is based on the number of people polled as compared with the number of people in the population being sampled. The margin of error for an entire poll, however, does not apply to the totals for any subgroup data within that poll. Thus, a poll that has an overall margin of error of plus or minus 5 percent will have a significantly higher margin of error for any data reported about the black population.”